Opinion

Nine Cents on the Dollar: What UN Agencies Won't Say About Afghanistan's Aid

September 21, 2026
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For four years, United Nations agencies have run the largest humanitarian operation on earth inside Afghanistan, disbursing billions of dollars to a population that needs it desperately, while operating with a level of financial opacity that would be unacceptable in almost any other context where this much money changes hands. It is time to say plainly what Afghan civil society has known for years: the current model of UN humanitarian accountability in Afghanistan is not working, and pretending otherwise serves everyone except the Afghans the system claims to serve.

The scale of the problem is not a matter of speculation. It is measurable, and Kabul Institute's own Afghanistan Aid Tracker, built on the UN's own OCHA Financial Tracking Service data, has measured it. Of every dollar that has entered Afghanistan's humanitarian response since 2021, only about nine percent can be traced past the first organization that receives it. The remaining ninety-one percent disappears from any public record at the exact moment it lands. This is not a rounding error or a data-quality quirk. It is the defining feature of how aid moves through this system.

Some of that opacity has a name, and the name is instructive. Across 315 separate funding flows, $1.42 billion has been routed to recipients labeled, in the UN's own reporting system, simply as “Confidential.” Not delayed reporting. Not pending verification. Confidential, as a permanent classification, as though the identity of an organization receiving hundreds of millions of donor dollars in a country under Taliban rule were itself a state secret rather than a matter of basic public accountability. There may be legitimate security reasons to protect the identity of specific field partners in specific circumstances. There is no legitimate reason for confidentiality to become the default disposition of nearly ten percent of all traceable humanitarian spending in the country.

Meanwhile, Afghan-led organizations, the people with the deepest knowledge of their own communities, the lowest overhead, and the most direct accountability to the populations they serve, received just 1.2 percent of first-line funding. Less than one and a half cents of every dollar went directly to an Afghan organization as the primary recipient. The rest moved through international intermediaries first, layers of subcontracting that each take their own cut, each add their own reporting lag, and each make the money harder to trace by the time it reaches, if it reaches, the person it was meant for.

This is compounded by a deeper structural absence. UN agencies operating in Afghanistan report upward, to executive boards, to donor governments, to headquarters far from Kabul, but they report to no Afghan body at all. There is no internationally recognized Afghan government for them to answer to, and no alternative mechanism has been built to fill that gap. The result is a humanitarian architecture accountable to everyone except the twenty-three million people it exists to serve. Afghans have no seat at the table where funding priorities are set, no vote in how their own crisis is defined, and no formal channel to demand answers when the money meant for them disappears into a “confidential” line item. A system can be well-intentioned and still be fundamentally undemocratic in its structure. This one is.

This is not a new problem, and that is precisely the point. It is the same structural failure that helped produce the Afghan Republic's collapse in the first place. For two decades, international assistance to Afghanistan flowed overwhelmingly through parallel delivery systems, international contractors and NGOs operating alongside, rather than through, Afghan institutions. That architecture did not simply fail to build a state. It actively hollowed one out, teaching Afghan citizens to associate every visible improvement in their lives with a foreign flag rather than their own government, while the state itself grew administratively larger and politically weaker in parallel. The Special Inspector General for Afghanistan Reconstruction spent a decade documenting this distortion in exhaustive, quarterly detail. It did not stop the pattern. It simply chronicled it.

I worked directly with UNDP on the administration of LOTFA, and I can say plainly: an accountability gap this size is never accidental. It is what happens when no one with the power to demand answers is actually required to ask for them.

What has changed since 2021 is not the underlying pathology. It is the disappearance of the one institution that was at least trying to track it. SIGAR closed its doors in December 2025, the discontinuation of the only standing, independent, continuously updated mechanism for monitoring how reconstruction and humanitarian money moves through Afghanistan. Its reports were periodic, government-authored, and imperfect. They were also the closest thing the international system had to a mirror. That mirror is gone, at precisely the moment when UN agencies have become the single largest channel for money entering the country, and precisely the moment when the Taliban's own capacity to obstruct, redirect, or simply refuse to explain where aid goes has only grown more sophisticated.

None of this is an argument against humanitarian assistance to Afghanistan. Twenty-three million Afghans depend on it, and withdrawing that support would be a moral catastrophe layered on top of an existing one. It is an argument that assistance delivered without accountability is not humanitarianism in its fullest sense. It is a transfer of resources whose ultimate use no one outside a small circle of implementing agencies can actually verify, in a country where the population has already watched one accountability-free system collapse in eleven days and take their entire state down with it.

The fix is not complicated to describe, even if it requires real institutional will to implement. UN agencies operating in Afghanistan should be required to report the identity of implementing partners beyond the first tier, with narrow, time-limited, and independently reviewed exceptions for genuine security concerns, not a standing category that nearly ten percent of all funding can simply be filed under indefinitely. Confidential should mean something has been individually assessed and justified, not that no one has been asked to justify it. Reporting requirements should extend at least to the second and third recipient in any funding chain, since it is precisely at those downstream links, not the first, well-documented transfer, that money most often disappears from view. And funding targets for Afghan-led organizations as first-line recipients, not merely as eventual subcontractors three layers removed, should be set, published, and tracked against actual disbursement data, not aspirational language in a strategic framework document.

None of these changes require new legal authority. OCHA already collects and publishes the Financial Tracking Service data that makes it possible to calculate the nine percent traceability figure in the first place. The infrastructure for better accountability already exists. What is missing is the institutional decision to use it for accountability rather than merely for reporting.

Afghan civil society is not asking UN agencies to solve problems they cannot solve. Insecurity, Taliban restrictions on women's participation in aid delivery, and the sheer scale of need all impose real constraints that no accountability framework will erase. What is being asked is narrower and more achievable: that the money moving through this system be as traceable as the technology already permits, that Afghan organizations be trusted with the same first-line access to funding that international intermediaries currently claim by default, and that “confidential” stop functioning as a euphemism for “unaccountable.”

Afghanistan spent two decades learning, at catastrophic cost, what happens when an entire political and financial system operates on the assumption that no one is really watching. The international community does not get to relearn that lesson at humanitarian scale and call it compassion. Four years into the current crisis, with no sign that traceability is improving, it is well past time for UN agencies to answer a question Afghans have every right to ask directly: if only nine cents of every dollar can be traced, on what basis is anyone being asked to trust the other ninety-one?

Naweed Kawusi
Naweed Kawusi
Founder, Kabul Institute
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Naweed Kawusi is a former Colonel in the Afghan National Police and founder of Kabul Institute, an Afghan-led policy and research organization. He teaches at the University of São Paulo and is the author of The Bleeding Nation and the forthcoming The Brave and the Corrupt.

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